 
Recently outfielders have been getting the call into the Hall of Fame with Jim Rice and Rickey Henderson last year making the Hall of Fame. Finally this year Andre Dawson gets the nod he deserves.
It appears to me that in order to make it into the Hall of Fame that since the years of free agency (era 6 for our purposes) it has been increasingly difficult to make the hall of fame with a simple 10,000 H-Factor. The outfielders and first basemen must have a minimum of 11,000 H-factor in order to get significant votes unless of course there are extenuating circumstances, such as Kirby Puckett and his eye injury.
I suppose that three conclusions one can draw from this is that during free agency, a player can play for a longer period of time without being subject to one team’s prerogative. Also, a player has more information on how to stay healthy, treat his body so his longevity may be increased in his baseball twilight years. Finally, it may be due to the gaudy numbers that have been posted in era 7 during what some have called the Rx (steroid) era.
I've listed below those in bold in the hall and those that are not in the Hall in either regular print or in italics if I think they may one day get in.
|
No one in era 1 is in the Hall of Fame,
Harry Stovey is closest.
| Era 2 in
LF |
| Delahanty |
Ed |
11083 |
| Clarke |
Fred |
10483 |
| Wheat |
Zach |
10437 |
| Magee |
Sherry |
9800 |
| Burkett |
Jesse |
9423 |
| Kelley |
Joe |
8626 |
| Notice that
only Magee is not in with a score of 8500 or above. |
| Era 3 in
LF |
| Simmons |
Al |
13606 |
| Goslin |
Goose |
12582 |
| Medwick |
Joe |
12315 |
| Meusel |
Bob |
9586 |
| Medwick is
above 12,000 and in, while Meusel is at 9500 and not in. |
| Era 4 in
LF |
| Musial |
Stan |
18647 |
| Williams |
Ted |
|
| Minoso |
Minnie |
|
| Williams and
Musial are beasts at over 17,000 points and Minoso as the next best at 9000 is
unable to make the Hall. |
| Era 5 in LF |
| Yastrzemski |
Carl |
14884 |
| Brock |
Lou |
12044 |
| Stargell |
Willie |
11662 |
| Williams |
Billy |
10584 |
| Powell |
Boog |
10041 |
| Davis |
Tommy |
9101 |
Boog Powell
is the cutoff at 10,041, just barely over 10,000, and Tommy Davis is not on
there as well. However, anyone over
10,500 is in starting with Billy Williams. |
| Era 6 in LF |
| Henderson |
Rickey |
15519 |
| Rose |
Pete |
15334 |
| Rice |
Jim |
11347 |
| Raines |
Tim |
11220 |
| Foster |
George |
10926 |
| Baylor |
Don |
10848 |
| Bell |
George |
8808 |
| Of course
Rickey Henderson is in and Rice was selected last year on his last eligible
ballot. Rose is not in due to off
the field issues not because of his play. Raines is scoring pretty respectable at 30% of the vote, which bodes
well for his eventual selection. Foster, Baylor and Bell won’t get in, so it looks like is closer to
11,000 in era 6 and beyond. |
|
| Era 7 in LF |
| Bonds |
Barry |
20283 |
| Carter |
Joe |
10321 |
| Gonzalez |
Luis |
9919 |
| Belle |
Albert |
8686 |
Bonds is the
only one that will probably make it from this era and even that is questionable due
to off the field suspicions. |
| Era 8 in LF |
| Anderson |
Garret |
9125 |
| Giles |
Brian |
8142 |
| Berkman |
Lance |
7827 |
| Era 8 is the
current era but it doesn’t look like there are any viable candidates at the
moment. |
Note: I left
off Kiner and Hafey because they made it due to their peaks and sudden injuries
that while devastating to their careers they were eventually selected to the
Hall of Fame. Note Kiner scored 7995
in era 4 and Hafey scored 7918 in era 3.
In Era 1,
only the catcher/right fielder, King Kelly was selected.
| Era 2 in RF |
| Crawford |
Sam |
12802 |
| Hooper |
Harry |
12802 |
| Keeler |
Wee Willie |
9435 |
| Thompson |
Sam |
9429 |
| Era 3 in RF |
| Ruth |
Babe |
20567 |
| Ott |
Mel |
1389 |
| Waner |
Paul |
11388 |
| Klein |
Chuck |
11220 |
| Heilmann |
Harry |
10963 |
| Rice |
Sam |
10557 |
| Henrich |
Tommy |
9654 |
| Era 4 in RF |
| Slaughter |
Enos |
19142 |
| Bauer |
Hank |
19142 |
| Furillo |
Carl |
19142 |
| Era 5 in RF |
Aaron |
Hank |
19142 |
Robinson |
Frank |
16658 |
Kaline |
Al |
13419 |
Clemente |
Roberto |
12811 |
Maris |
Roger |
9486 |
| Era 6 in RF |
| Jackson |
Reggie |
15255 |
| Winfield |
Dave |
13451 |
| Parker |
Dave |
12494 |
| Dawson |
Andre |
12370 |
| Evans |
Dwight |
10932 |
| Baines |
Harold |
9900 |
|
| Era 7 in RF |
| Sosa |
Sammy |
11665 |
| Gwynn |
Tony |
11599 |
| Walker |
Larry |
11155 |
| Canseco |
Jose |
10974 |
| O'Neill |
Paul |
10612 |
| Gonzalez |
Juan |
10322 |
| Strawberry |
Darryl |
9582 |
| Era 8 in RF |
| Ramirez |
Manny |
12792 |
| Sheffield |
Gary |
11302 |
| Guerrero |
Vladimir |
10484 |
| Suzuki |
Ichiro |
8243 |
Note: in era 3 I left off Ross Youngs who also was elected as a high peak and injury guy who scored 7666 and Elmer Flick in era 2 who scored 6575.
Otherwise the formula works to see who could be predicted to be in if strictly
taken from what is done on the field.
Parker still garners about 15% of the vote,
though his off the field issues in the late 70’s and early 80’s has undoubtedly cost him some character votes. Sosa, Ramirez and Sheffield also look to get some significant votes upon eligibility. We will see how the voters treat the players that played through this stain of an era.
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